Obama is blowing it and will likely lose in November. Thats a pretty bold title on this post isnt it? Let me begin by saying that I hope that Im wrong in this one. And if I am, come November I will be happy to eat these words - but lately Ive had quite a good track record of predicting politics and I want to share my feelings on Obama now.

If youre an adamant supporter of Obama as I am, Im sure Im not the only one that has this uneasy feeling right about now - about how Obama is going to blow it in November. You’d think this would be a no-brainer: Barack Obama: a fresh face, a Harvard Law Professor, young, talented, charismatic people-person, with bold new ideas promising this thing called hope. And of yea, he can give awesome inspiring speeches too! Someone that is born to be a leader, someone that actually has the right judgment and temperament to be a leader in this important time in the world. Someone that actually looks like the rest of the world in that he is not white.

That was in the primaries. And sadly, the Obama that we saw in the primaries is long gone. The Obama that we’re stuck with now is a calculating politician that votes for FISA after promising that he will not just a few months ago and thinks its OK for the American government to spy on its own people after years of criticizing Bush for doing the same. The Obama that we’re stuck with now is for drilling for more oil even though he knows that its a brainless idea: a crack addict does not get off his addiction by doing more crack. The Obama that we’re stuck with now says that he wont bring the Iraq war to an end until at least 2 more years (after promising that he will do so within 6 months in the primaries).

This post-primary Obama looks more and more like a brighter, more intelligent version of Bush and McCain. This Obama tip toes around the idea of key issues like women’s right to choose, economy, the war, oil drilling, FISA. Where is the Obama that we saw during the primaries? Where is the Obama that promised us real hope and change? This is not the change that the American primary voters hoped for.

Obama is therefore blowing it and will probably lose in November. Now before you say, “surely the American people would’nt be so stupid to vote for McCain now.” Really? Dont be so sure. Remember these are the same people that voted for Bush in 2004 against John Kerry, a decorated war hero who was smart and had every reason to win the election. These Republicans play dirty and are tough, and here I thought Obama will actually bring it to them and beat them at their game - but here he is, sitting there taking it like a pussy with his “different kind of politics” bullshit. America is not ready for a serious adult debate. You have to treat people like children and rub the other guy’s face in the mud, and Im not sure Obama has it in him to rub McCain’s face in the mud - something I am sure Hillary and Bill Clinton would never have hesitated to do if Hillary was the nominee. I cant help but wonder if Obama has it in him to really fight for this and play the republicans how they like to play: dirty. And I also cant help but think that he needed Hillary as his VP now more than ever. If he doesnt, he will lose. Its as simple as that.

And Im saying this now so that its on paper: If McCain becomes president - we’re in for a hellish ride. You thought Bush was bad… wait till you guys get a load of this old fuck.